Strategy has purchased $2.54 billion worth of Bitcoin, marking its largest single acquisition since late 2024. This significant corporate buying reinforces the “Bitcoin Yield” strategy and may add fuel to the ongoing rebound.
Bitcoin jumped past $78,000 last week, hitting a four-week high before pulling lower. The move delivered one of the strongest weekly gains in recent months, driven by a powerful short squeeze and institutional momentum.
On the technical side, next resistance sits around $80,000-$80,600, with the 200-day MA at $87,500. This marks a clear recovery from February’s $60k lows and March’s constrained range, strengthening the foundation for higher 2026 resolutions in prediction markets.
Trade analysis
With popular strikes between $100k and $200k, prices can overreact to squeezes but resolve on ETF flows and follow-through buying. After clearing 70k and 75k, the key is to focus on sustained macro and institutional conviction throughout the year.
Bullish (90k or higher) signals:
- Successful follow-through on Iran peace talks and sustained risk-on environment
- Continued ETF inflows and corporate accumulation accelerating BTC Yield
- Decisive break and hold above $76k–$80k carrying momentum into 2026
Bearish (55k or lower) signals:
- Breakdown in Iran ceasefire or renewed escalation pushing USD higher
- Profit-taking after the short squeeze exhausts momentum
- Failure to hold above $75k leading to quick retracement
The short squeeze and Strategy’s record buying have shifted probabilities toward higher 2026 price resolutions. A disciplined strategy is to buy dips on any war-related pullbacks while taking partial profits or fading aggressive rallies toward $80k+.